Briefings & Intelligence

The abiding memory of the VII Summit of the Americas in Panama from 10 to 11 April will be the presence of Cuba’s President Raúl Castro and the private meeting he held with his US peer Barack Obama. This historic event was not upstaged by the diplomatic spat between the US and Venezuela over the recent executive order declaring the country a threat to US national security and ordering sanctions against seven officials. Obama was lectured by several leaders present about past US interventions in the region, but he stressed his focus was on regional cooperation for future prosperity with equity (the theme of the Summit) which received little media coverage, although a series of accords on energy and education were struck.

Morales suffers electoral setback in Bolivia

President Evo Morales suffered one of his biggest electoral setbacks in the 29 March departmental and municipal elections since taking office in 2006. Exit polls indicate his ruling Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) won in just four of Bolivia’s nine departments, with two going to a second round on 3 May and three to different opposition outfits. This is not only down from the six won in the last (2010) local elections but a far cry from the eight in which the MAS won a majority vote in the most recent (October 2014) general elections (losing only in Beni). While the MAS remains the only national political organisation, the defeat for the ruling party in its symbolic bastions of La Paz and El Alto, along with other strategic seats, is a wake-up call for Morales.

Astori the austere

Colombian peace process enters uncharted waters

Big gestures on either side have advanced the peace process between the Colombian government and the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (Farc) guerrilla group further than any previous effort in the history of the 50-year armed conflict. The government negotiating team in Cuba struck a deal with Farc counterparts on 7 March to work together to clear anti-personnel landmines and other improvised explosives placed by the guerrillas. In return for what he described as “a hugely important step”, unprecedented indeed, President Juan Manuel Santos responded days later with three of his own gestures: he ordered the military to halt aerial bombing of Farc camps, the prelude to a bilateral ceasefire; he cancelled the extradition to the US of a guerrilla and a paramilitary; and he instructed the military to intensify attacks on other ‘illegal armed groups’.

Politics trumps economics in Brazil

Caracas mayor arrested, protester killed as Maduro’s conspiracy claims grow

Venezuela: the arrest of the opposition mayor of Caracas, Antonio Ledezma, as an alleged party to a plot to stage a coup, and the death in the westernmost state of Táchira of a young protester at the hands of a police officer, against the backdrop of more claims by President Nicolás Maduro about a continually expanding conspiracy against his government.